35:35 / 58:49
Transcript
0:05
hi everybody today's Thursday December 5th and our friend Olaf is here is here
0:12
with us welcome good to be with you let's get
0:17
started Dimitri with what's going on in the West Asia and with the case in Syria right
0:25
after the seare between Lebanon and Israel something
0:32
big in my opinion popped up in Syria there was an agreement in 2020 between
0:37
Iran Russia and Turkey and you see these people who are supported by turkey are attacking the
0:45
government in Syria what's going on in your opinion well it had to happen at some
0:50
point because these Frozen conflicts eventually thaw out and turn into Hot
0:56
War again uh freezing conflict is a bad idea idea it's a fad that the Americans
1:02
started in Korea um and now they're and they tried it in Syria and um now they're getting
1:10
ready to to try it again in in the Ukraine but it never works because
1:15
Frozen conflicts eventually thaw out now what happened in Syria is that uh um
1:23
this this group called HTS which was before that anusa before that Al-Qaeda
1:30
or and or Isis which are basically American trained American supported
1:36
terrorists um they decided to go on attack they got everything they needed
1:42
from Turkey because um uh turkey saw an opening for
1:47
itself uh in in that part of the world and um uh they were also uh getting a
1:55
lot of support from the ukrainians uh you see there all these ukrainians who know know that the days of the Ukraine
2:01
are counted they're skilled at terrorist operations which you know they they
2:08
gained a lot of experience with in the course of the the Ukrainian Civil War
2:14
and um uh they they uh they're looking for new career opportunities in Africa
2:21
and uh uh as it turns out in Syria uh War has changed so they they come in and
2:29
they they come in with d uh drone technology they come in with various types of
2:35
internet communications techniques um and and uh they they
2:43
achieved uh some amount of success but the point is that the Russians and and
2:48
the Iranians will have none of it and are killing them by the
2:54
hundred and um the thing is that you know even with this new technology these
2:59
terrorist terrorists are old school terrorists Who attack in large numbers and are killed in large numbers
3:06
because now they're uh very easy to see the new rules of rules of War are if if
3:13
the enemy knows where you are you're dead by definition and the enemy knows
3:19
where they are and therefore they're dead so the Russians and uh the syrians
3:24
to some extent have been flying sorties and and doing very successful bombing
3:30
runs where they're they're basically uh producing piles of corpses uh out of these um uh idlib
3:38
Gremlins that have been hiding in the idlib province for almost a decade
3:44
now so that's really you know what has to happen is
3:50
that the Syrian Army has to um have has has to relearn how to fight based on the
3:57
Ukrainian experience because as I said War has changed um the the uh the tanks for
4:04
instance can't just roll into battle unless they have um mesh or grill or
4:10
something over them so that um the drones that try to destroy the tanks
4:15
explode in the air over the tank as opposed to piercing the armor um they they have to have anti-
4:23
drone technology they have to to have um radio Warfare equipment they they they
4:29
basically have to get up to Snuff and then they'll be able to clean up the idb
4:35
province now the problem is that the ITB province is being claimed by Adon as as
4:41
his little Bailey Wick and his to defend so that may draw in um the region into a
4:50
larger conflict but the point is that uh neither Russia nor Iran want a war with
4:57
turkey they want to they want that situation to simmer controllably and so that may mean that
5:05
once this Onslaught is fought off idlib will go back to Frozen conflict mode so
5:12
the only hope is that the U uh enough of the Ukrainian militants or terrorists or
5:18
whatever you want to call them get killed and that uh the US is sufficiently uh weakened by its internal
5:26
strife that uh there won't be much of a recurr so that's really the best we can hope
5:33
for when you look at the situation you see Israel
5:40
is connected with the situation is just providing everything they can and they
5:46
they're trying to support these Tech fues HTS as as they call it and ha CH if
5:55
I'm not mistaken something like this and on the other hand and ukrainians are
6:01
there training these people and giving them drones or Turkish drones coming but
6:07
coming from Ukraine and on the other hand you see
6:12
turkey being part of this when you look at Turkey talking about if Israel goes
6:19
to Southern Lebanon we're going to send our army there to fight Israelis and right now cooperating
6:27
with them in Syria and and how because I think in the eyes of Iranians and
6:33
Russians the situation is so critical to how to deal with erdogan how to deal
6:38
with turkey because at the end of the day they have to understand there has to be some sort of trust between these
6:45
nations to talk to to make some sort of
6:50
agreement uh well look uh turkey has some very important uh roles to play as
6:56
far as Russia is concerned first of all it's a gas trans shipment point now that
7:01
the Ukraine is out of the picture as a pipeline aan if you will so turkey is
7:07
the big pipeline is stand it will be supplying uh lots of uh countries in
7:13
Central uh and Eastern Europe uh with natural gas uh it's really really important as
7:19
far as that goes um secondly Russia is building a nuclear in Ayu which is going
7:27
to be a long-term project 100 years of electric power uh supplied to Turkey um
7:35
there are also a a lot of trade relations between Russia and Turkey because turkey is quite effective in
7:41
circumventing anti-russian Western sanctions where Russia can get pretty much anything it wants through turkey
7:49
including um dual use Electronics uh military civilian electronics that are
7:56
manufactured in in California or someplace like that so turkey is very
8:01
useful to Russia uh Iran is uh very useful to Russia in lots of capacities
8:08
you know we'll run out of time uh if we talk about that but it's a very close and and intricate
8:15
relationship and Syria is a long-term Russian friend 70 or 80 now years worth
8:21
of uh uh Syrian Russian friendship and Russia does not abandon its friends so
8:28
uh Russia must must maintain Syria as a Sovereign
8:33
Nation and given all of these ingredients you just basically turn them you put them in a meat grinder and turn
8:40
the crank and see what comes out and what comes out is going to be not very
8:45
pretty but there isn't really any way to understand the situation by um um
8:52
considering that all the um participants are capable of taking a principled step
8:59
stand they're not they're basically going to pick away at the pieces um res
9:07
resist certain uh at at certain points give in at certain other points and it's
9:13
all going to be a big mess we we had Iranian foreign minister
9:18
going to Syria then to Turkey I know that the relationship between Iran and turkey is good there they didn't have
9:26
any sort of problems so far but when it come comes to the region it seems that
9:32
turkey is playing on the part of the United States on the part of
9:37
Israelis how why are they so obsessed with the government in Syria and how
9:44
powerful is are these people in your opinion how what sort of Leverage does
9:51
these people these these groups and HTS and Al Al no I don't know all of them
9:58
has have on the administration in Turkey do is there any sort of
10:06
understanding on the part of Russians why are they behaving like this oh there's plenty of understanding
10:13
the problem is that if you pick away at this uh gordian knot of problems in in
10:18
the north of Syria uh you just make it worse most of the time and look at the
10:24
fact that you know erdogan is quite afraid of uh of the Kurdish
10:29
uh organizations that could spontaneously spring up uh across the
10:35
border in Northern Syria if if there is no Turkish influence and Turkish
10:40
presence in that region um and on the other hand a lot of those Kurds are
10:46
Russian educated and Russian trained and Russian speaking from from the old days
10:53
and and so um uh how do how do you work how do you work that out you know how do
11:00
you chase the Turks out of there if they feel that they're threatened or will be threatened on their own territory as a
11:06
result of that so there's there's a lot of give and take and and you know that's
11:11
just one example but you know it's a huge subject and the best that these leaders can do is uh focus
11:21
compartmentalize and and figure out what it what what what it is they can achieve at any given point but then there's the
11:28
bull and the china shop which is uh uh the United States with its Ukrainian
11:34
terrorists in tow and the Ukrainian terrorists are highly motivated because they need a uh basically a new venue
11:41
because the Ukraine is not a good venue for them anymore they keep getting killed they would much rather be in
11:47
Syria or in Africa than in Ukraine at this point so it's an easy cell to tell
11:52
them to go to go to Syria you know their chances of survival are a lot better of
11:57
course they won't be welcoming anywhere else in the world they know that but but they uh they go there and uh they they
12:05
make a mess uh so uh as usual the United States is is the wild card you know the
12:12
trump card in the game nobody knows how how it's going to affect things but it
12:19
definitely won't make things more peaceful do you see any sort of
12:27
substantial role of Israel in what's going on in Syria uh Israel um just basically to to
12:37
um to make themselves feel better more than anything else they they keep
12:42
bombing Syria it they they keep telling themselves that they're they're
12:48
achieving some kind of a tactical or strategic aim by doing so that is
12:53
entirely unclear uh Israel has just lost the third war in southern Lebanon in a row
13:02
it has lost a lot of armor it has demoralized its military and it has an
13:08
ongoing conflict in Gaza that had has uh eventually slowly over time
13:15
eroded um the standing of Israel around point where Israelis are afraid to go to
13:22
travel abroad you know Israeli passport for one reason or another used to be a
13:28
fabulous passport as far as traveling Visa free travel around the world well
13:33
that's changing so Israel is really losing ground and um the they bomb this
13:41
or that location in um in Syria now and again uh just to make themselves feel
13:48
better I guess it's it's sort of a constellation bombing if you will um they they can't get very close with
13:54
their very expensive f-35s they have to launch missiles from pretty far away
13:59
the targeting isn't that good so they hit something you know they hit a gas station and and there's a big Kaboom and
14:05
they feel happy about that uh it's not really it's not something that can
14:10
change the game it's just something that happens when we look at the situation
14:16
between Israel and Lebanon in in my eyes what's H what has
14:24
happened and one of the main reasons of this ceire was because Israel was not
14:30
doing great in southern Lebanon this was one of the last gifts from the Biden
14:36
Administration to Israelis because they couldn't Retreat from Southern Lebanon because that was
14:42
humiliating that's they made a ceasefire a temporary ceasefire they can bomb
14:48
right now as we talk they're bombing Syria they're bombing Lebanon and
14:54
they're just doing their job without having their troops on the ground because their troops were taking lot of
15:02
casualties how how do you think that is that making sense in your
15:08
opinion well it made sense because um uh the Americans have been trying to
15:14
demonstrate that they can do something in that region in that conflict so they forced through a
15:21
ceasefire uh in finger quotes because the ceasefire was not between um between
15:28
the Waring it was not between and and
15:33
Hezbollah it was between Israel and uh the government of Lebanon the government
15:39
of Lebanon was not party to the conflict it was just getting its uh you know high-rise buildings
15:46
destroyed um and didn't want that to continue happening because it's sustaining damage so it was highly
15:54
motivative motivated to sign whatever paper anybody puts in front of them
16:00
that would promise to minimize the damage on the other hand Israel would
16:06
had a was highly motivated to sign this piece of paper because if it did then
16:11
the Americans would give it more weapons with which to bomb Gaza into rubble and
16:17
and Destroy some more high-rise buildings in in in Beirut so uh it was sort of a a win-win
16:24
win you know the Americans look like they negotiated a ceasefire even though though it's fake uh the Israelis get
16:31
more weapons and the Lebanese might get a bit fewer high-rise buildings uh
16:37
destroyed in Beirut unfortunately it wasn't a real ceasefire so it didn't
16:43
hold but I think I predicted
16:48
that Dimitri when it comes to the conflict in Ukraine right now do you
16:53
think that with what's going on with the Trump Administration so far how do they feel
17:01
in Russia about the Trump Administration in 2025 are are
17:08
they feeling that is there any sort of willing on their
17:15
part to be trusted on the part of Russians that
17:20
they want to do something different from the Biden Administration well look first of all
17:27
what Russia wants is Victory with capital V it wants to win and it's
17:34
a couple of months away from winning it's it's a tricky situation in some ways I can get into the technical
17:41
details of what that would entail but Russia is winning let's let's
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basically uh make sure that everybody understands that that Russia is winning Russia is going to
17:54
win now Trump has proposed this Mr Kellogg Mr cornflake whatever uh old as the Hills right um
18:04
was in had had a had a hand and losing the Vietnam War he's that old um who
18:11
came up with um I I don't I don't know if he wrote this paper or it was
18:16
partially ghostwritten for him or whatever on how he would negotiate um a
18:22
ceire and freeze the conflict in the Ukraine and the Russians looked at this
18:28
thing and left because it's just completely ridiculous I actually printed out some some of his
18:34
stipulations so he has incentives for Russia he has incentives for Ukraine and
18:40
he has ways of pressuring Russia and and if you if you if you actually look at
18:45
the all this stuff then um uh you start doubting uh the man's sanity because he
18:52
clearly just is a in a world of his own he doesn't know what's going on so an incentive for Russia is to
19:00
delay the Ukraine's entry into NATO now why why did Russia decide to start the
19:06
special military operation because the Ukraine was threatening to join NATO so
19:12
as long as the threat of the Ukraine joining NATO exists the war is going to
19:18
continue to its Bitter End which will end in the complete destruction of the
19:23
state of Ukraine if you could say that it's still a state Russia retains current occupied Ukrainian territories
19:31
okay we're talking about Sovereign territory of the Russian Federation where does Mr cornflake get
19:38
off telling Russia what is or is not its territory that that really throws the
19:46
Russians for a loop who does he think he is you know to tell the Russians what what's their land you know just
19:52
completely ridiculous he's insane uh partial lifting of sanctions
19:57
against Russia he thinks that that's an incentive Russians love sanctions it
20:03
gives them an internal reasons to D to drive forth with their very impressive
20:09
import replacement programs to a point where they're now more or less industrially independent from all
20:15
hostile Nations and and they like it that way lifting the sanctions would would uh
20:22
decrease the the pressure on their own businessmen to do their job and pursue
20:27
these government-mandated programs of uh import replacement the Russian economy
20:33
is doing better under sanctions than it than it did without sanctions more
20:38
sanctions please not less Mr Kellogg are you listening Russia wants more
20:43
sanctions not less you could threaten Russia by threatening to take away the
20:49
sanctions not the other way around and the prospect of full sanctions relief and normalization of relations with the
20:57
US okay the Russian at this point know that the US is the enemy why would the
21:02
why would Russia want to normalize relations with its enemy Russia wants to win Russia wants the United States to be
21:10
defeated okay very important to and and uh then there he has some
21:16
points about applying pressure on Moscow um Military Support of Ukraine from the
21:22
United States that's not pressure on Moscow uh Moscow loves that because it
21:28
gives them more to sorry more more stuff to destroy um and and to strip the US of
21:35
its of its weapons stock files uh that weakens the US it doesn't weaken Russia
21:41
um and Ukraine receiving long-term security guarantees bilateral from the
21:47
United States that's also something that he offered okay uh the the United States is
21:53
not in a position now given that Russia has um has won the arms race with its
22:00
new weapon system systems is not in a position to offer security guarantees to
22:06
anyone including itself tomorrow Russia could destroy the
22:11
Pentagon with non-nuclear weapons and the US would just suck it up sit there
22:16
and do nothing so given that that's the situation now how can the United States
22:23
promise uh or provide security long-term security guarantees long-term
22:29
to to the Ukraine which is only going to exist for a few more months as far as I can
22:34
tell and then there are incentives for Ukraine as as if the Ukraine is some
22:39
some kind of an independent agency that doesn't just do what it's told by the
22:44
state department and the Pentagon uh Ukraine would not have to formally recognize Russia's
22:51
annexations of former Ukrainian territory but Russia doesn't formally
22:57
recognize the Ukraine so uh how does that go um it and and
23:04
also how does that change so a government you don't recognize doesn't recognize you nobody recognizes anyone
23:11
that's great okay that's Pleasant I suppose um no other restrictions on
23:17
Ukrainian sovereignty now that made the Russians really laugh because the Ukraine has no
23:22
sovereignty uh it's basically a US Colony at this point it's you know it's entire government government is
23:29
supported by transfer payments direct transfer payments from the United States you know lots of dollars being flown in
23:38
um KF continues to receive US military assistance in the form of Interest free
23:44
loans um how is an interest free loan uh different from just a handout if it's a
23:51
government that isn't going to be in a position to repay those loans I don't know uh tariffs would be placed on
23:57
Russian energy exports now that's an interesting thing you see there is this product called mazut 100 that Russia
24:05
sells to the United States the Americans hate to Hate any mention of that but
24:10
without Mazo 100 the Americans would not be able to make diesel out of their
24:15
fracked oil because it's too light and mazut 100 is this viscous substance it's
24:21
it's like a gum almost so they they've mixed their super light cracked oil with
24:27
this uh sludge that the Russians sell them it's a high-tech sludge um and the
24:33
result is diesel now keep in mind that uh railroads Freight railroads um in the
24:40
US are not electrified 1% of the of the track railroad track in the United
24:46
States is electrified the rest runs on diesel uh all of the rest of freight
24:52
within the United States uh is using diesel trucks so if the United States
24:59
cannot make diesel the United States ceases to exist as as an industrial
25:05
country and it only continues to exist now that it's wrecked its relationship with uh Venezuela thanks to this Russian
25:13
substance that the Russians out of the goodness of their hearts sell to the Americans and all the Americans have to
25:20
do if Mr corn flag decides to impose sanctions on Russian Energy Products is
25:27
basically say okay no more mazut 100 so does he know what's going on no
25:33
he doesn't and and okay so I think I think I answered the
25:40
question you believe that all of things that you've said
25:46
together with we've learned that Jake solivan is talking about that by the mid
25:51
of January they're going to send more weapons to Ukraine and Jake Solon
25:57
Anthony blink they said $50 billion from Russian frozen assets would be in the
26:03
coming weeks they're going to send to Ukraine on the other hand the conflict
26:08
in Syria as you know they don't have any sort of chance against the government in
26:14
Syria they know that and because this the region has changed you you look
26:21
Syria and the way that even Arab states Saudi Arabia pardon me Saudi Arabia UAE these
26:30
countries were supporting the United States right now they're not that naive
26:35
to be part of that plan it seems all of in my opinion most
26:41
of what's going on in Syria is related to the conflict in Ukraine they want to distract Russia from what's going on in
26:50
in or maybe put some sort of pressure on Russians and they make some sort of
26:56
distraction in Syria and right now in Ukraine trying to help Ukrainian to put
27:03
them in a better position in the way that Keith kellock is talking about that
27:09
Biden Administration can can put Donald Trump in a better position how is that
27:15
going to work for them in your opinion I don't think so first of all
27:21
the Ukraine is is fractured and and and um falling apart on the inside so
27:26
shipping in weapons to the Ukraine right now uh runs a very high risk of the
27:33
Russians finding out where they are and destroying them at the dock right was right when they get there
27:41
because the uh the number of uh Ukrainian informants who are on telegram
27:48
or whatever to to the Russians telling them where the targets are you know is
27:54
is getting the list is getting really long um so getting the weapons to the
27:59
front is a big problem at this point they all get blown up at the dock
28:05
recently a a whole bunch of uh attack and storm Shadows get got blown up at
28:11
the dock it was spectacular um second problem is that
28:16
you know the the ukrainians are pretty much running out of uh troops at the
28:21
front uh the latest statistics is that for every hundred recruits 10 make it to
28:27
the front the rest for one reason or another cannot be sent to the
28:32
front um they get panic attacks or or they they can't shoot straight or they
28:38
have medical problems or they run away and then when they do deliver troops to
28:44
the front out of every 10 um something like three wander away or go and and uh
28:52
sign up to fight on the Russian side that's that's a new trend lots of Ukrainian troops are crossing over and
28:58
saying we're on the wrong side you know give us some more ammo and we'll we'll just turn around and and kill those
29:05
bastards who sent us here um so that's going on a lot so helping helping the
29:12
ukrainians at this point is um becoming an imponderable for the Americans so the
29:20
only thing they can continue to do is shoveling money at their own military industrial complex that they know how to
29:26
do that and that's the whole point of it uh whether the weapons that are produced as a result get destroyed at the dog
29:32
doesn't really matter as long as the military contractors get paid but it's not going to achieve any sort of a
29:39
significant result on the ground in the Ukraine but the most important thing that's going on inside the Ukraine is
29:47
that the Russians are solving this very intricate puzzle how to shut down uh
29:54
Ukrainian nuclear power plants controllably without bombing them so
30:00
what you have to do is you have to carefully pick away at the power grid blowing up Transformer Farms until uh
30:09
you reach a situation where the nuclear power plant operators are forced to go
30:14
into cold shutdown but there's a a thing that has to be maintained even in cold
30:21
shutdown these plants have to be supplied with electricity so how do you deprive them
30:28
of of of maintaining an electrical load while supplying them with electricity if
30:35
the only way that the ukrainians have of supplying themselves with electricity is
30:40
through electricity Imports so the Russians from from the surrounding EU countries so the Russians seem to have
30:48
determined that the way you do this is uh you basically destroy power
30:54
distribution to a point where the only thing the ukrainians continue to do is buy electricity from surrounding
31:01
countries which is in limited Supply but that would be enough to keep their nuclear
31:06
reactors uh cool once they go into cold shutdown or hot shut shut well it's it
31:13
can't be cold for a while because they're too radioactive um so they're working away
31:18
at that and the end result of that is that the Ukraine will have no electricity in midwinter huge country
31:25
with no electric grid so that should really push the Ukrainian government
31:30
what remains of it uh deep into their bunkers because the people won't be that happy with the government at that point
31:38
and that would be pretty close to the end of of the whole Ukrainian experiment
31:43
which has lasted you know 35 years now it's about time to call it quits um may
31:51
happen this winter in your opinion are we going to have a
31:59
some sort of Sanity in the United States under Donald Trump when it comes to the conflict in Ukraine and in the Middle
32:06
East or the things going to get worse
32:12
um my guess is that Donald Trump is going to run into trous amount of
32:19
internal friction within the United States and uh all that he will be able
32:25
to do internationally is make uh I is is to make loud and
32:31
incoherent uh pronouncements of various kinds that may make things worse for a
32:37
short period of time but will not really result in in any uh major change except
32:44
um um maybe destroy whatever remaining uh power or authority the United States
32:51
has internationally um I don't think that he will be able to put together any kind of
32:57
a cogent plan uh I don't even think that he'll be able to neg negotiate some kind
33:03
of an orderly Retreat I think it's just going to be chaotic what's happening now
33:08
in Washington is that the Democrats have decided and the Deep State have decided that attacking
33:17
Trump is not going to work for them because it hasn't worked so far uh
33:23
because you know he's a a popular public figure uh and they're not going to make
33:30
themselves Popular by attacking him so they attack his political
33:35
appointees and that they they have they have had some success by manufacturing
33:40
fake stories about them uh their various proclivities you know their drunkenness
33:46
their their philandering Etc uh in the case of one of them and and so uh if
33:53
that's the those are the opening salvos in a in a in a long War that's going to last throughout
34:00
Trump's term where he's going to have a lot of trouble getting his appointees into office once they get into office
34:08
they will have to you know sharpen some pencils whatever make sure they have some notepads that'll take them a little
34:14
bit of time and and by then there will probably be some kind of an organization
34:19
built up around them that will thwart their every effort to get anything done
34:25
so uh I expect Trump's government to to be one of the most ineffectual governments in the world internally
34:31
conflicted constantly at odds within itself and not really able to um uh to
34:39
to make its uh to make policy or to enforce policy even Donald Trump himself doesn't
34:47
seem to help to be helpful because to to be helpful to his administration the way
34:53
that he's talking about the countries who are not willing to use the US dollar and he's
35:00
threatening these countries to put more sanctions and tariffs how is that going to be a
35:07
solution in your opinion in his mind um well that's that's easy he he
35:13
said that bricks uh will uh bricks shouldn't make their own
35:18
currency and Bricks the bricks are like okay we won't make our own currency
35:24
we'll just use our own National currencies end of story right so what
35:30
this shows is that Trump is really vague on the concept nobody wants to replace the US
35:37
dollar God forbid who would want that not even the Chinese with the uan want
35:43
want to play that game uh what people instead want to do is uh uh create these
35:49
Financial wormholes that go from one country to another where you know you you want to buy something from Russia
35:56
you pay this worm hole in Yuan and on the other side it magically transforms itself itself into
36:03
rubles and everything is frictionless and it and there's there are no commissions charged on currency exchange
36:10
and nobody has to actually print the money because it's all virtual it's just numbers and it all just washes out you
36:18
know it's just accounting games so that's what that's where bricks
36:23
is going they're not going in the direction of currency you know currency is uh coin or paper or
36:31
something like that nobody uses that anymore it's all it's all virtual it's
36:36
all based on on crypto and and that's how it's going to be so the point is
36:42
that Trump won't even know how these countries are trading and apparently none of his advisers know that either
36:49
they don't realize that China and Russia don't use the US dollar and trade with each other and and you know Russia is
36:56
the biggest supplier of of uh natural gas and oil to China at this point um
37:03
huge Market but doesn't touch the US dollar in any way shape or form he
37:08
doesn't know that how about ol of Schulz visit to KF
37:15
Demitri how did you find it and what's what was the main reason of this visit
37:21
in your opinion and that was his Catch Me If You Can tour he he came with this big silver
37:29
suitcase um and it's like in your face bastards I know what you're doing you go
37:35
to Kev you get you you get your luggage stuffed with Ben Franklin's and you go back and you transport all this American
37:43
money back home and your diplomatic baggage I know what you're doing I'm going to do it right in your face I'm
37:49
going to hand carry the stuff and it's probably his swan song
37:55
you know he's probably this is it for him uh quite likely given the politics
38:00
and inside uh in inside Germany where everybody is sort of like oh we we love
38:08
the fact that there's a war going on in in the Ukraine because that gives us something to talk about rather than the
38:14
fact that our Auto industry has collapsed um they don't want to talk about that um no the war in the Ukraine
38:22
is so much more important plus we get to go to Kiev and and and get suitcases of money
38:28
um so that was basically the whole trip he went there he got his money he went back he did it directly and you know in
38:36
front of cameras because what are they going to do you know if everybody does it then then who's going to get charged
38:43
there's nobody left who isn't corrupt you know Janet yelling Secretary of the Treasury did it you know so who's left
38:51
you know nobody and that's why he that's that's why he did that because there's
38:57
no no body left to corrupt and how about France right now
39:04
how do you see the situation in France it seems that the government is just so shaky right now and but we know how much
39:12
this government is supporting the case of the policies in Ukraine is is it
39:19
going to be let's put it that that way is the Donald Trump's
39:25
presidency going to change the Europe's policy in
39:32
Ukraine well I I don't think that the France has much of a policy as far as the Ukraine
39:39
um uh the the I haven't kept track of the silly tanks the wheel tanks that
39:45
they were going to send that they send them or not uh I should really look that up that was their the last thing that
39:52
they could do um they they uh threatened to send troops which would be um uh re
39:59
really funny um you know there was a there was a comedy show in Britain Monty
40:05
Python um and they they invented this wonderful French thing called uh l Mar
40:11
futil uh the fule March uh which would be the the wonderful new military
40:17
advance of the French military so um if if if macron decides
40:23
to send French troops to the Ukraine that would be an example of L ftil but
40:30
he's not going to because what he's really playing at still is his great
40:36
concept called ambiguity strategic strategic ambiguity he for some reason
40:41
just loves it and and uh maintains it for all its worth but it doesn't add up
40:47
to anything um as far as the French government uh I didn't check this morning's news does it still exist I
40:54
think they I think they all resigned you know it's it's very hard to keep track
41:00
of uh you know these puppets resigning uh the Korean government resigned the
41:05
French government resigned almost on the same day I think who's
41:12
next you you've mentioned the Korean government Dimitri in your
41:18
opinion what's going on in Korea right now is related
41:25
to the leverage that the United States has in that country or something more
41:31
internal than external
41:37
leverage South Korea is a US Colony its
41:42
government is strictly for show and self-enrichment the its government
41:48
exists for the sake of corruption nothing else that's why all of South South Korean presidents end up
41:54
committing suicide or in jail because uh the pressure to um to pursue various
42:02
types of corruption is is just uh irresistible for them if if it wasn't
42:08
for corruption they they'd have nothing at all to do uh South Korea is run from
42:13
the US Army Base outside of so and and from from the US
42:20
Embassy uh all the major uh corporations have uh have some some degree very
42:27
sometimes very large degree of American Management in them it's not a Sovereign Nation by any strench of the IM
42:34
imagination it's an occupied territory it has no sovereignty at all and uh it's
42:41
dying the birth rate per woman in South Korea is um something like 6 per woman
42:50
so that means that with each Next Generation the cohort shrinks by 40%
42:58
after after a while you know u a country like that ceases to
43:03
exist um and it's it's ethnically homogeneous there's no uh there's no
43:09
immigration to South Korea so it really is going to empty out eventually North
43:15
Koreans will just basically you know kick over the the you know the border
43:20
and and because there'll be nobody in the South nobody left except some old people who will probably expect some
43:27
humanitarian Aid um but that'll be the end of South Korea and and um before that happens
43:36
it'll probably be the end of American colonial rule in South Korea but this
43:42
birth rate is is really you know that's that's the telling statistic about the whole thing the place is going away and
43:50
what that tells me is that Koreans don't breed well in captivity like many animals
43:57
they basically just slowly go
44:02
extinct dimitry when you look at the situation right now in the United States
44:08
and Donald Trump coming to power do you think that is he going to
44:13
be able to I put some sort of division between
44:22
Iran Russia and China because right now it in my opinion the main concern for
44:29
the for Donald Trump himself and his administration would be China and how are they going to deal
44:37
with that are they are we going to see more conflicts or is going to make some
44:44
sort of Peace in the Middle East in Ukraine then go after
44:49
China well what he proposed uh as far as China so far as
44:54
tariffs um now you have to understand that there's no mechanism of replacing
45:01
Chinese production with American production that at this point is um not
45:07
really a good business plan because of costs it costs more to produce a unit of
45:13
anything in the United States than in China for a number of
45:19
reasons now what imposing tariffs on China will do it is drive up inflation
45:26
in the United States and possibly cause shortages that is the only thing that it
45:33
that will happen it will also not have much of an effect on on on China because uh first
45:41
of all China has the ability to build factories as it has already done in
45:47
Indonesia in Vietnam in Thailand anywhere it wants to
45:52
so uh the United States in in confronting China using tariffs would be
45:58
forced to play this this silly whack-a-mole game where it it has to put
46:04
tariffs on all kinds of countries including countries that uh are
46:09
supposedly its friends uh or Allies so there's no reason for for for instance there's no
46:16
reason why turkey wouldn't be able to uh make these uh these fake companies that
46:25
basically uh relabel Chinese made stuff as Turkish made stuff and sell it to the
46:30
United States now it would take um uh it would take the United States with its
46:36
bureaucracy maybe half a year to catch up to that scheme and then turkey gets
46:42
replaced with Egypt or something um and and the game
46:48
continues uh this is not something uh that is a valid strategy imposing
46:55
tariffs on production you cannot yourself make uh at competitive prices
47:02
is not really uh a war against your trade opponent if you will it's a war
47:10
against yourself so in fighting China Trump will fight the American
47:17
Consumer that's why I do believe that we're going to have we may have some
47:22
sort of military confrontation between the United States and China in Taiwan
47:29
because as you've mentioned economically they're not capable of they they can put
47:35
some sort of pressure on China but it's not this is not going to be a
47:40
substantial deal for China because China knows how to play
47:45
the game but in the United States I do believe that they're clueless about what's going
47:51
on how do you see the possibility of that uh
47:58
well I I think that there will be a lot of posturing going on and um I think
48:03
from Trump's point of view it's more important to look like he is uh fighting a war than actually fighting a war so um
48:13
there'll be a lot of Shadow Boxing with China but uh it it'll be tacitly agreed
48:20
beforehand that the no it won't come to any actual blows because uh the United States at
48:27
this point uh is unlikely to be able to sustain uh the high level of humiliation
48:34
that would result from it being defeated by China um we we know about the state of
48:41
the the US Military and the US Navy especially it's h you know ships colliding in the night we we know the
48:49
amount of disarray that will result from Trump's policies of getting all of the transgenders out of the US
48:55
military uh um and and um we we from
49:02
that we can surmise that the US is is not going to uh be too eager to get
49:07
involved in in a large hot conflict with a major peer adversary having having seen how badly
49:15
the situation has gone with its uh proxy conflict in the
49:21
Ukraine uh where it was you know and is still refusing to enter the freid
49:27
directly wisely so it has no proxies to throw at
49:32
China um Japan doesn't count South Korea doesn't count who's left
49:37
nobody um and so um I don't think much is going to happen but there is going to
49:43
be tension you know because that plays well on American TV you know there there will be some
49:49
shots fired in some uh direction of there being no targets that way uh um
49:57
and uh everybody will just sort of go Haram Haram and and nothing much will
50:04
happen how do you see the possibility of the continuation of the conflict even under Donald Trump because of the terms
50:10
that as you've mentioned earlier they don't make sense and that's why many
50:18
people are now thinking that maybe under Donald Trump they're not going to be
50:23
able to put an end to the conflict just continuing the Deep State Prevail and continue this conflict for as as we saw
50:31
in Iraq and Afghanistan they don't leave they just continue continue until
50:37
nobody's else is capable of fighting right now they're talking about reducing the draft age from 25 to 18 which is we
50:46
know it's devastating they're they're literally destroying a country all of
50:51
these young people young men how how do you see in that direction
50:57
is it going to is that possible well there won't be any 18y
51:03
olds to draft because they're all heading to the border right now you see if if you're if you're under 18 you can
51:11
leave so everybody who's under 18 is leaving
51:18
so uh basically the number of people that will be able to draft is is
51:23
dwindling and the rest of the 18yar olds and you know 18 plus will probably go
51:28
into hiding um it it will be very difficult
51:34
to draft them as I said out of uh every hundred people that they round up only 10 actually uh get to the front and can
51:43
be stuck in a in a in a ditch somewhere to where they're supposed to shoot back
51:48
and defend it and get killed and out of that those 10 uh maybe three will desert
51:55
and maybe one will cross cross over to the Russian side and you know fight for the Russians so this is not a situation
52:03
where you can um where you can win the the entire uh the entire Ukrainian military
52:10
is is rapidly hollowing out and and um
52:15
it it's really just collapsing uh Russia is gaining ground uh by Leaps and Bounds
52:24
uh at some point there will be no resistance at all over large stretches of the front and the front is thousand
52:33
kilometers and and uh the ukrainians will simply evaporate they'll run
52:38
there'll be no way to stop them right now the only thing that that's driving them uh towards the front is the threat
52:46
of being killed by their own side so there there are the troops that are fight fighting the Russians and then
52:53
there are Ukrainian troops fighting the ukrainians as they try to retreat you know that that's that's their battle
52:59
order at this point but at some point uh even that will stop working um we may be
53:06
months away from that that basically collapsing altogether so what can the
53:11
United do the United States do at that that point other than what it did in in
53:20
Afghanistan which is leave and pretend that the problem doesn't exist how many
53:26
news stories about Afghanistan do you see in in American Press right now zero
53:32
Afghanistan doesn't exist so my prediction is a year from now the
53:37
Ukraine will no longer be in the news in the United States
53:43
yeah just to wrap up this session Dimitri if you were to mention the name
53:49
of countries who are still willing in the European countries who are still willing
53:56
to continue the conflict in Ukraine how how do you see that do you
54:03
think that France wants to continue this conflict I do believe that Germans are
54:11
so tired of this but the pressure coming from Washington is tremendous they
54:17
cannot sustain that pressure that's why they're doing what they're doing right now but how about the other countries
54:23
how even Germany well the big problem is lack of
54:29
sovereignty um these countries do not have the ability to formulate their own
54:35
foreign policy they pretend to for the purpose of public relations for the
54:41
purpose of uh pretending to their own people that their government is in charge so they say different things at
54:48
different times but um um basically they're they're they're biting for time
54:55
because at the end they know that they will do exactly what Washington tells them to do every time so um that's one
55:03
part of it the other part of it is that uh a lot of Western politicians love the fact that there's this war in Europe
55:10
because they can talk about that instead of talking about their own collapsing economies which have uh all seen better
55:18
days you know they they they all peaked every single European economy peaked
55:24
over a decade ago some as far uh as far back as 2008 that's the case in Germany
55:32
a lot of them have uh collapsed by a quarter or more Italy has collapsed by
55:38
close to a third by now um they Shadows of of their former selves and people
55:44
know that because their standard of living is steadily dropping and and so their governments
55:50
would would dearly love to have something else to talk about something other than
55:57
political uh I mean than than economic collapse because that way lies political
56:03
collapse and so having a war inside Europe is a blessing for them and the
56:08
longer it goes on the better it is for them how about the United Kingdom how do
56:15
you feel about them because the situation in the United Kingdom it seems to me it's totally different from about
56:20
we witnessing in Germany well the they United Kingdom is
56:27
in a race um um as to how how big an
56:32
idiot they can and they can get into the prime ministership they've experimented with
56:39
people like Liz truss uh each each next one is worse than the previous one just
56:45
more duded more strange more nonsensical uh eventually they will have
56:52
to um you know basically say that Larry the C C that lives at 10 Downing Street
56:58
is the prime minister and leave it at that for as long as that c that cat lives because uh he'll make more sense
57:05
than any of the other candidates but basically what they want to do is they want to stay relevant to
57:11
their master in Washington somehow and um they're failing at that
57:17
in spectacular Ways by supporting Biden and now they have to um uh rotate by 180
57:25
degrees support Trump and it's awkward it's very very awkward and they really
57:32
don't know what it is they have to do but uh the fact is that uh something
57:37
like half the Britain can can't afford to heat their houses this winter and again that's the situation
57:44
that they ought to talk about because that's a national emergency and uh what is what do they do
57:50
instead they talk about the Ukraine of course how do you see the future of
57:57
zalinski is he going to stay at the end of the conflict whatever would be that end is
58:04
he going to stay in Ukraine or he's gonna go somewhere
58:10
else I will answer that question uh through a bit of
58:20
pantomime by ukrainians by himself he he has a very nice pistol for
58:27
it gifted to him by the the Czech government
58:33
yeah thank you so much Dimitri for being with us today great pleasure as always
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